Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 360.096951 408.556569 462.404360 526.902686 602.353346 688.176489 793.689233
2025-10-05 298.006919 364.048799 444.220649 549.678694 686.180292 858.872176 1097.050871
2025-10-12 266.705934 342.002375 438.940329 574.852106 763.660010 1021.487161 1408.717013
2025-10-19 237.338123 316.010598 422.061129 578.503808 808.677380 1143.544391 1684.256695
2025-10-26 209.677438 287.730501 396.927289 564.864067 824.043355 1221.885761 1905.803624
2025-11-02 188.799382 265.991194 377.563220 555.627310 842.525996 1305.061260 2147.977068
2025-11-09 177.700265 256.871300 375.028114 570.667785 899.835570 1457.764683 2538.118374
2025-11-16 163.982875 242.209408 362.153829 567.081353 925.001700 1558.823515 2854.232265
2025-11-23 151.391363 227.957014 348.234154 559.648170 941.733894 1646.350824 3161.516211
2025-11-30 142.386345 218.461674 340.840114 562.070291 975.772854 1770.601212 3571.242458
2025-12-07 132.081442 205.916430 327.126335 551.608049 984.033943 1845.318043 3889.502441
2025-12-14 124.265755 196.807953 318.311055 548.825964 1006.320056 1951.512601 4305.118670
2025-12-21 113.504863 182.112418 298.947891 525.097483 985.297605 1966.020755 4510.786026
2025-12-28 110.647693 180.770938 302.995434 546.366660 1059.566022 2203.140977 5354.566666
2026-01-04 108.510881 180.455510 308.759184 571.521814 1145.783475 2484.848434 6412.490159
2026-01-11 103.635719 174.825067 304.149594 575.130595 1184.997041 2661.746617 7227.767948
2026-01-18 97.051764 165.586024 291.935447 561.586817 1183.040417 2734.922267 7747.551264
2026-01-25 91.567091 157.995827 282.271926 552.413291 1190.062774 2833.026411 8384.114165
2026-02-01 89.250169 156.172594 283.688283 567.350395 1257.530887 3108.631213 9740.146691
2026-02-08 85.105679 150.565724 277.105301 563.788661 1278.392927 3257.958962 10697.971327
2026-02-15 80.888854 144.539504 269.205418 556.406580 1288.423804 3378.058135 11594.677904
2026-02-22 77.938382 140.797482 265.700052 558.812063 1324.633366 3585.737008 12945.982988
2026-03-01 74.000086 134.847278 257.146538 548.421592 1324.771115 3680.590783 13854.976251